Ya, I’ve heard the pundits… Amy’s barely polling in single digits, is about as well known on the national scale as her home state’s pro sports teams, and has about as much chance of becoming president as said teams have of winning the Series or Superbowl. Those pundit’s don’t know Minnesota, Iowa, or New Hampshire political dynamics and they don’t know Amy.
Minnesota democrats have developed some of the best campaign strategies in the world, as we drag out every last democratic voter with doorknocks, social media, and just plain science. Amy’s one of the best at this, routinely winning by the largest margins even in places democrats usually don’t. Iowa is like Minnesota except even more so- 36% rural with only 7% of the population living in the largest city, Des Moines. Iowa is split between no less than 9 media markets and has about the same number of airports that can handle a business jet- sizeable parts of the state are over an hours drive from a major airport. So you can’t win Iowa with even saturation level TV in just the Des Moines market, and neither can you win chartering a big jet that can only land in Des Moines and Cedar Rapids. That was Hillary’s 2016 strategy, and explains how underfunded Bernie with a bus damn near beat her.
So Amy goes to Iowa, plugs in her proven Minnesota campaign strategy, and it works like a charm. But that’s just the beginning of the “Amy advantage”… Living barely 100 miles down a 70 MPH freeway from Iowa, while the other candidates are trying to find a flight to Des Moines Amy can take advantage of any unscheduled time to campaign in Iowa. Same with her thousands of Minnesota volunteers that are closer to those northern Iowa small towns than they are to the beaten campaign trail through Des Moines.
It gets better- While the polls tell us that Joe Biden is leading in Iowa with around 30%, followed by Bernie with Kamala and maybe Liz barely in double digits. But the same polls tell us than Iowa democrats prefer a candidate under 70, we love you “grandpa Joe”, but sorry. By an even bigger margin Iowa democrats say elect ability is their top concern in picking a candidate, and in the scant head to head with Trump polling available Bernie, Kamala, and Liz lose to Trump. Amy is the candidate Iowa democrats want, some of them just don’t know that yet. And did I mention that Iowa for the first time ever will have absentee balloting, giving more mainstream democrats who more closely align with Amy a chance to vote for her?
So Amy will defy the pundits and come out of Iowa well into double digits if not an outright win, The same qualities that will propel Amy to a top finish in Iowa will make her a top finisher in New Hampshire and that momentum will push her through Nevada, South Carolina, and Super Tuesday. California is doing Super Tuesday this time, and that’s Kamala’s strategy… Problem is, that’s Liz and Bernie’s and a couple other progressives strategy, too
So by DNC time Amy has the delegate lead, and hopefully everyone else’s delegates note Amy’s ability to win in the swing states that really decide the election as well as California and they put Amy on the top of the 2020 general election ballot. And unlike the “progressives”, Amy evicts Trump from the White House and appoints the Attorney General that will send him to prison.